tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32560458.post1546174563985286491..comments2024-01-11T11:56:40.589+01:00Comments on Skype Numerology: About growth speedJean Mercierhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11574194645522976288noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32560458.post-24592745023742203182008-10-04T16:42:00.000+02:002008-10-04T16:42:00.000+02:00Hudson, i don't see why you say that the graph sho...Hudson, i don't see why you say that the graph shows "<B>clearly not</B>!Jean Mercierhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11574194645522976288noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32560458.post-42000764995497905372008-09-30T06:11:00.000+02:002008-09-30T06:11:00.000+02:00This graph shows Skype clearly NOT slowing down. h...This graph shows Skype clearly NOT slowing down. <BR/>http://glimfeather.com/borderless/RealUsers.htmHudsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05511526445868840330noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32560458.post-5668157331283397392008-09-27T19:27:00.000+02:002008-09-27T19:27:00.000+02:00Hudson,you say: "Right now it is accelerating in c...Hudson,<BR/>you say: "<I>Right now it is accelerating in comparison to last year but it is decelerating if you compare to two years ago.</I>", therefore we agree!<BR/><BR/>I really like your splitting-up of Skype users by continent. But it is, like most exercises you and me are doing, a very rough guess of the Skype reality. Peak Users Statistic is a real number (if the algorithm of Skype is correct), and for me tells something about the total mass of users. Therefore, here i disagree!<BR/><BR/>And i agree again completely with your statement that "<I>the main driver is the availability and price of broadband</I>".<BR/><BR/>You forgot, in your last paragraph, to mention the "SkypeOut" event: this was the real start of Skype.<BR/><BR/>I am however NOT AT ALL convinced that devices will boost Skype, unless mobile phones (iPhone?) with WIFI ability AND Skype client get common!Jean Mercierhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11574194645522976288noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32560458.post-41852001253513854682008-09-27T18:02:00.000+02:002008-09-27T18:02:00.000+02:00You know, Jean that you can comment on my blog as ...You know, Jean that you can comment on my blog as well. Sometimes we have some pretty interesting conversation.... and it is all in Skype public chat rather than this cumbersome blogger thing. See <BR/><BR/>http://glimfeather.com/borderless/Chats/garnet_stone-3.html <BR/><BR/>If you want to join the chat, there is a link at the top of that page. Just click it.Hudsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05511526445868840330noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32560458.post-407918066125469712008-09-27T17:45:00.000+02:002008-09-27T17:45:00.000+02:00Yes, that was rude.Nobody has enough data to say w...Yes, that was rude.<BR/><BR/>Nobody has enough data to say whether Skype's overall growth is accelerating, decelerating or just going up in a straight line. We do know that it varies from year to year, from season to season, and from region to region. That is what my statistics focus on. Right now it is accelerating in comparison to last year but it is decelerating if you compare to two years ago. I just don't understand how you can pretend to know the things you say you know. <BR/><BR/>I am also critical of you (and most other analysts) using the "peak users" statistic. All it tells you is what the peak is on certain weekdays when the statistic is comprised mostly of users in Western Europe and Eastern America who are at work. It essentially looks at 14-16 GMT on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday and ignores everything else. It is analogous to a doctor declaring that he knows what disease you have by observing one symptom. Ridiculous.<BR/><BR/>The more I study Skype growth, the more convinced I am that the main driver is the availability and price of broadband. This is the drug that when mixed with Skype pricing can be explosive. <BR/><BR/>In the user statistics I have never been able to detect the influence of any particular Skype feature except possibly SkypeIN and SkypePro. We are now coming into an era when devices could also be important; the Asterisk/Skype box and mobile phones especially.Hudsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05511526445868840330noreply@blogger.com